2028 Presidential Election: New Mexico Winner

This event tracks the outcome of the 2028 US Presidential Election in New Mexico, measuring which political party's candidate will win the most valid statewide votes.

How the outcomes relate

The event consists of mutually exclusive markets representing different political parties. Because resolution depends on which single party nominee wins the most statewide votes in New Mexico, at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

Each market resolves to Yes if its designated party's nominee wins the most valid statewide votes in New Mexico during the 2028 presidential election, regardless of electoral college distribution. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If these outlets do not reach consensus or stop making statewide calls, certified election results reported by the state government will be used. If results cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".

Key dates

• Expected Election Day: Nov 7, 2028 — The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place on this date.
• Resolution Deadline: Dec 31, 2029 — Deadline of 11:59 PM ET to definitively determine statewide results, after which the market resolves to "Other".

Resolution source

Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified results from the state government

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 1 Nov 2026, 00:31 UTC