Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Economy markets
99 live markets · prices from Polymarket · Gotcha risk and tradability on every market card
- Fed Decision in December?$3.1M
- Fed Decision in January?$320.6K
- Crude Oil all time high by...?$129.9K
Biggest moves, 24h
- Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?▲ +23 pts → 21%
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?▼ −12 pts → 39%
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?▲ +12 pts → 26%
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?▲ +10 pts → 25%
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?▼ −5 pts → 9%
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
97%chance7 days▲ +29 ptsYes97¢No3¢Gotcha high · 1 of 4 flaggedExceptions↔ ±0 pts · 24hUS recession by end of 2026?
2%chance7 days▼ −2 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?
4%chance7 days▼ −2 ptsYes4¢No96¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
<1%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha medium · 1 of 4 flaggedExceptionsFed emergency rate cut before 2027?
2%chanceSince Nov 10↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill US gas hit $4.40 (High) in November?
1%chanceSince 00:56 UTC↔ ±0 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedKOSPI all-time high before 2028?
23%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes23¢No78¢Gotcha high · 3 of 4 flaggedWordingExceptionsResolverJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
1%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha low · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingOPEC dissolves in 2026?
2%chanceSince Nov 11↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 3 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingExceptionsWill Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?
2%chanceSince Nov 11▲ +1 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?
1%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverExceptionsUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?
39%chance7 days▼ −18 ptsYes39¢No62¢Gotcha medium · 4 of 4 flaggedResolverTimingWordingExceptions+10 more outcomes Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
+4 more outcomes Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
- November 30, 202699%December 15, 202698%December 31, 202698%November 20, 202697%November 16, 2026<1%
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
+1 more outcomes Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
+3 more outcomes Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
+1 more outcomes Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.