Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Tech & Science markets
109 live markets · prices from Polymarket · Gotcha risk and tradability on every market card
Live Tech & Science markets109of Polymarket's most active
Moved ≥ 5 pts, 24h14▲ 7 up · ▼ 7 down
Most traded, 24h · among the markets below
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap$408.5K
- Largest Company end of December 2026?$267.3K
- AI bubble burst by...?$115.4K
Biggest moves, 24h
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?▲ +17 pts → 86%
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?▲ +12 pts → 82%
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?▲ +6 pts → 11%
- AI bubble burst in 2026?▼ −6 pts → 7%
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?▼ −6 pts → 42%
Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
26%chanceSince Nov 10▼ −1 ptsYes26¢No74¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?
43%chanceSince 00:56 UTC▲ +2 ptsYes43¢No57¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill Alice Huang be federally charged by December 31, 2026?
8%chanceSince 06:56 UTC↔ ±0 ptsYes8¢No93¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
<1%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha high · 3 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingExceptionsWill SpaceX be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1%chance7 days▲ +1 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha high · 3 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingTimingWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
1%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverExceptionsWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
7%chance7 days▲ +3 ptsYes7¢No93¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
97%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes97¢No3¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedPlague pandemic in 2026?
1%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
7%chanceSince Nov 11▲ +1 ptsYes7¢No94¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingNew pandemic in 2026?
2%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 1 of 4 flaggedWordingWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
28%chanceSince Nov 12↔ ±0 ptsYes28¢No72¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverEbola pandemic in 2026?
1%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
12%chance7 days▲ +3 ptsYes12¢No89¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingAI data center in space by December 31, 2026?
1%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?
2%chanceSince Nov 11↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedWordingExceptions9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
3%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes3¢No97¢Gotcha low · nothing flagged10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
1%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
9%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes9¢No92¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverAnthropic lab leak by December 31, 2026?
2%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverWill Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
3%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes3¢No97¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
2%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
6%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes6¢No95¢Gotcha medium · 3 of 4 flaggedTimingWordingExceptionsHantavirus vaccine in 2026?
3%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes3¢No97¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?
4%chanceSince Nov 7▲ +2 ptsYes4¢No96¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedGPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?
86%chanceSince Nov 10↔ ±0 ptsYes86¢No14¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
8%chance7 days▼ −4 ptsYes8¢No92¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverGotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
+5 more outcomes Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
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Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
+3 more outcomes Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.
Gotcha risk and tradability for each outcome are on the event page.