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2,455 live markets · prices from Polymarket · Gotcha risk and tradability on every market card
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Moved ≥ 5 pts, 24h194▲ 92 up · ▼ 102 down
Biggest moves, 24h
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in November?▲ +60 pts → 76%
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?▲ +39 pts → 68%
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?▲ +38 pts → 26%
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?▲ +25 pts → 49%
- Will Vitality Win the BLAST Rivals Hong Kong 2026?▼ −24 pts → 8%
Jensen Huang divorce by December 31, 2026?
19%chanceSince Nov 10▲ +8 ptsYes19¢No82¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWording▲ +2 pts · 24hHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
47%chanceSince Nov 12▲ +9 ptsYes47¢No53¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverExceptions▲ +14 pts · 24hUS strike on Cuba by December 31?
10%chance7 days▲ +2 ptsYes10¢No91¢Gotcha medium · 3 of 4 flaggedResolverTimingExceptionsWill Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?
11%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes11¢No89¢Gotcha medium · 4 of 4 flaggedResolverTimingWordingExceptionsWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
8%chance7 days▼ −5 ptsYes8¢No93¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
6%chance7 days▼ −4 ptsYes6¢No95¢Gotcha medium · 1 of 4 flaggedExceptionsWill CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
26%chanceSince Nov 10▼ −1 ptsYes26¢No74¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1%chance7 days▲ +1 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha high · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingWill Tim Cook be the next CEO of NVIDIA?
6%chanceSince Nov 12↔ ±0 ptsYes6¢No95¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverExceptionsWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingTrump out as President before 2027?
2%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 3 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingExceptionsXi Jinping out before 2027?
2%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 4 of 4 flaggedResolverTimingWordingExceptionsWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
2%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 3 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingExceptionsLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
49%chanceSince 06:56 UTC▲ +1 ptsYes49¢No52¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes3¢No97¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
16%chance7 days▼ −29 ptsYes16¢No85¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverExceptions▲ +1 pts · 24hWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
2%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
8%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes8¢No93¢Gotcha medium · 3 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingExceptionsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
2%chance7 days▼ −2 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 1 of 4 flaggedExceptionsAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
97%chance7 days▲ +29 ptsYes97¢No3¢Gotcha high · 1 of 4 flaggedExceptions↔ ±0 pts · 24hWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
3%chance7 days▼ −2 ptsYes3¢No97¢Gotcha medium · 3 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingExceptionsGTA 6 launch postponed again?
<1%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes<1¢No>99¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
2%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedUFC 334: Cesar Almeida vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Prelims)
39%chanceSince 00:56 UTC↔ ±0 ptsYes39¢No62¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedFourth Jensen Huang affair reported by December 31?
52%chanceSince 00:56 UTC▲ +1 ptsYes52¢No49¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedExceptionsTrump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
4%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes4¢No96¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverExceptionsWill Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026?
43%chanceSince 00:56 UTC▲ +2 ptsYes43¢No57¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedUS recession by end of 2026?
2%chance7 days▼ −2 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedUFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
41%chanceSince Nov 11▼ −2 ptsYes41¢No60¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
3%chance7 days▼ −1 ptsYes3¢No97¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverExceptionsUFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke (Welterweight, Prelims)
56%chanceSince 00:56 UTC▼ −1 ptsYes56¢No44¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
3%chance7 days▼ −2 ptsYes3¢No97¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingUFC 334: Amanda Nunes vs. Kayla Harrison (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)
39%chanceSince Nov 10▲ +1 ptsYes39¢No62¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
9%chance7 days▼ −5 ptsYes9¢No91¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
1%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes1¢No99¢Gotcha low · nothing flaggedWill HYPE flip SOL by December 31?
2%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 1 of 4 flaggedTimingTrump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
95%chance7 days▲ +6 ptsYes95¢No5¢Gotcha medium · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverWill Alice Huang be federally charged by December 31, 2026?
8%chanceSince 06:56 UTC↔ ±0 ptsYes8¢No93¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
6%chance7 days▼ −4 ptsYes6¢No94¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingWill Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
77%chance7 days▲ +1 ptsYes77¢No24¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedExceptionsWill China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
2%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingWill Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?
42%chance7 days▼ −3 ptsYes42¢No58¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolver▼ −10 pts · 24hDutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?
9%chanceSince Nov 12▼ −6 ptsYes9¢No91¢Gotcha low · 1 of 4 flaggedResolverKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
2%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha medium · 3 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingExceptionsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
17%chance7 days▼ −6 ptsYes17¢No83¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverWordingModi out by December 31, 2026?
2%chance7 days↔ ±0 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha low · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverExceptionsIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
3%chance7 days▼ −2 ptsYes3¢No97¢Gotcha medium · 2 of 4 flaggedResolverExceptionsSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
2%chance7 days▼ −2 ptsYes2¢No98¢Gotcha low · nothing flagged