Next James Bond actor?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: No Bond chosen at 8% (−5 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $2.5M total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will be officially announced as the next James Bond actor. Each market corresponds to a specific actor candidate or an outcome where no actor is selected within the specified timeframe.
How the outcomes relate
Markets represent distinct actor candidates alongside an option for no selection being made. Because resolution is based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes, or the market for no actor being announced will resolve if none is chosen in time.
How it resolves
A candidate's market resolves to Yes if that listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Resolution is determined by the first official announcement, regardless of subsequent changes. If no actor is announced within the timeframe, the event resolves to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source is official information from Amazon MGM Studios, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Announcement deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from Amazon MGM Studios, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Bond chosen | 8% | ▼ 5 | High | Med | |
| Robert James-Collier | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| James Norton | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Paul Mescal | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Jacob Elordi | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Harris Dickinson | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Tom Hardy | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Pierce Brosnan | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Tom Holland | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Henry Cavill | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Callum Turner | — | — | Med | Med | |
| Jack Lowden | — | — | Med | Med | |
| Theo James | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Josh O'Connor | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Timothee Chalamet | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Michael B Jordan | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Nicholas Galitzine | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Jack Barton | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Jonathan Bailey | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Tom Francis | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Richard Madden | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Jack O'Connell | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Tom Blyth | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Joe Alwyn | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Robert Pattinson | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Nicholas Hoult | — | — | Not rated | — |