UEFA EURO 2028: Winner
55 live outcomes · highest priced: Spain at 23% · first close Jul 24, 2028 · $189K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the UEFA EURO 2028 tournament, with individual markets measuring whether specific national teams will win the championship.
How the outcomes relate
The event is structured with one market per national team. Because markets resolve according to the single nation that wins the tournament, at most one market can resolve Yes. If a nation is eliminated from contention, its market resolves to No.
How it resolves
A market will resolve to Yes if the specified nation wins UEFA EURO 2028. A market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for that nation to win per UEFA rules (such as being eliminated in the playoffs). If the tournament is cancelled, postponed past July 23, 2028, at 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by that time, the market will resolve to "Other". Resolution is determined by official information from UEFA or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Postponement / cancellation resolution deadline: — July 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | 23% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| France | 19% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| England | 16% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Germany | 11% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| Portugal | 9% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| Norway | 6% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Greece | 5% | ±0 | Low | Low | — |
| Belgium | 4% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| Moldova | 4% | ▲ 1 | Low | Low | |
| Netherlands | 4% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| Italy | 3% | ±0 | Low | High | — |
| Belarus | 3% | ▲ 1 | Low | Low | |
| Armenia | 3% | ▼ 1 | Low | Low | |
| Kosovo | 3% | ±0 | Low | Low | — |
| Lithuania | 3% | ▼ 1 | Low | Low | |
| Georgia | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| Finland | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| Austria | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Iceland | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| Faroe Islands | 2% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Liechtenstein | 2% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Switzerland | 2% | ±0 | Low | High | — |
| Latvia | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Croatia | 1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Turkey | 1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Cyprus | 1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Poland | 1% | ▼ 2 | Low | Med | — |
| San Marino | 1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Denmark | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Romania | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | — |
| Slovenia | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | — |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Sweden | <1% | ±0 | Low | High | — |
| Bulgaria | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Kazakhstan | <1% | ▼ 1 | Low | Low | |
| Serbia | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| Gibraltar | <1% | ▼ 1 | Low | Low | |
| Malta | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Hungary | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| Andorra | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Czech Republic | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Estonia | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Israel | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | — |
| Luxembourg | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| North Macedonia | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Northern Ireland | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Republic of Ireland | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| Scotland | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| Slovakia | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Ukraine | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | — |
| Wales | <1% | ±0 | Low | Med | — |
| Albania | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Azerbaijan | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low | |
| Russia | <1% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Montenegro | <1% | ±0 | Low | Low |