Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: No Meeting by December 31 at 68% (+9 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2027 · $371.8K total volume
About this event
This event tracks where the next direct or indirect senior-level diplomatic meeting between the United States and Iran will take place by the end of 2026, or if no qualifying meeting will occur.
How the outcomes relate
At most one market can resolve Yes. The event comprises mutually exclusive location options and a fallback option if no meeting takes place by the deadline. If a meeting begins across multiple countries, resolution is determined by where the first session begins.
How it resolves
A location market resolves Yes if the first qualifying direct or indirect senior-level diplomatic meeting between authorized US and Iranian representatives begins in that country by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying senior officials include heads of state or government, foreign ministers, cabinet members, national security council heads, presiding legislative officers, special envoys, or specifically designated delegates. If no qualifying meeting begins by the deadline, the 'No Meeting' outcome resolves Yes.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Meeting by December 31 | 68% | ▲ 9 | Low | Med | |
| USA | 2% | ▼ 1 | Med | Med | |
| Oman | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| UAE | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Saudi Arabia | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Qatar | — | — | Low | Med | |
| Switzerland | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Austria | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Turkey | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Iran | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Egypt | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Italy | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Iraq | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Kazakhstan | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Pakistan | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Russia | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Other - Middle East/North Africa | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Other - Europe | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Other | — | — | Not rated | — |