Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market defines a straightforward legislative milestone with a specific bill identifier (H.R.3633) and an explicit deadline of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Read the full assessment
The market defines a straightforward legislative milestone with a specific bill identifier (H.R.3633) and an explicit deadline of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It designates Congress.gov as the primary official source of record to determine whether the bill has passed both chambers and been signed into law. The rules contain no unusual exceptions or subjective criteria.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
2%
chance▲ +0.75 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the end of 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if these conditions are not met by the deadline. Resolution will be determined using Congress.gov's legislation tracker and other official U.S. government information, though other credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source
Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, or other credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·