Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?
Outcome
Yes
Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.
Yes price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
- Not captured
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules clearly specify how the winner and their party affiliation will be determined for the 2026 GA-11 midterm election. A candidate without a major-party ballot listing is assigned based on their stated intent to caucus once all House races are called. Resolution relies initially on a consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission named as the official fallback if there is any ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether a Republican candidate wins the election for Georgia's 11th congressional district in the 2026 U.S. House midterm elections.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if the candidate who wins the GA-11 House seat is affiliated with the Republican Party. The market resolves No if the winning candidate is not affiliated with the Republican Party. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House elections are called, or by their most recently expressed caucus intent if unaffiliated on the ballot. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official Federal Election Commission results if there is ambiguity.
Key dates
- 2026 midterm elections: — Date on which the midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the fallback source for official results in case of ambiguity
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.