No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
The market clearly defines the criteria for determining which political party wins the specific congressional seat in the 2026 midterm elections, including explicit instructions for non-major-party candidates based on their stated caucusing intent. Primary resolution relies on a consensus of credible reporting, which leaves some room for decider judgment regarding media calls, but the rules include a definitive backup to official Federal Election Commission records if results remain ambiguous or disputed. Because party affiliation and outcome criteria are clearly established, unexpected resolutions are unlikely.
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Moved 45 pts; one trade was 61% of $82 traded; mostly NO buying.
The price fell from 21% to 4%, with concentrated activity from 3 wallets across $82 in volume acting as a likely driver amid low liquidity.
The news search didn't complete, so no catalyst is claimed.
AI-generated · 1 Nov 2026, 00:50 UTC
The price rose sharply from 5% to 48%, but there is insufficient evidence to identify a likely driver for the move.
No news-backed explanation was ready before close.
AI-generated · 29 Oct 2026, 19:05 UTC
This market measures whether the Democratic Party will win Georgia's 11th congressional district seat in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm election.
The market resolves to Yes if the candidate winning the GA-11 House seat is affiliated with the Democratic Party, determined by ballot listing or stated intent to caucus when all 2026 House races are called. The market resolves to No if a candidate affiliated with another party wins. The election result is decided by a consensus of credible reporting. If ambiguity exists, resolution relies solely on official results from the Federal Election Commission.
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the fallback source for official results
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.