Will Omoyele Sowore win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market straightforwardly tracks whether the named candidate wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election, explicitly covering any potential runoff or second round.
Read the full assessment
The market straightforwardly tracks whether the named candidate wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election, explicitly covering any potential runoff or second round. Resolution relies first on a consensus of credible reporting, but provides a concrete backstop by specifying official Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), if any ambiguity occurs. An extended longstop date of October 31, 2027 provides ample buffer for certification delays or legal challenges before triggering a fallback resolution to Other.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Market explained
This market measures whether Omoyele Sowore will win the 2027 Nigerian presidential election, including any potential second round.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Omoyele Sowore wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election, including any potential second round. The market resolves to No if another candidate wins. The market resolves to Other if the election results are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting. If ambiguity arises, the market resolves solely based on official results reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with fallback to official Nigerian government sources including the Independent National Electoral Commission
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·