Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution, defining the exact threshold, the cutoff deadline of 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, and the single definitive data source: the Binance HYPE/USDT futures 1-minute candle chart.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution, defining the exact threshold, the cutoff deadline of 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, and the single definitive data source: the Binance HYPE/USDT futures 1-minute candle chart. Resolution relies strictly on whether the final low price on any qualifying 1-minute candle touches or drops below $40.00. Explicitly excluding other trading pairs, spot markets, and other exchanges eliminates ambiguity, leaving no room for discretionary interpretation.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
7%
chance▲ +0.7 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPE/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance HYPE/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Hyperliquid (HYPE) will drop to $40 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on the Binance HYPE/USDT futures 1-minute candle low prices.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for HYPE/USDT shows a final Low price equal to or lower than $40 between the creation of the market and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Price action occurring prior to the market's creation does not count. Prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or other trading pairs are excluded. Resolution is determined solely using Binance 1-minute candle Low data for HYPE/USDT.
Resolution source
Binance HYPE/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·