Is Earth flat?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on whether conclusive proof is published before the specified deadline, defaulting to a negative outcome otherwise.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on whether conclusive proof is published before the specified deadline, defaulting to a negative outcome otherwise. The primary risk stems from the lack of a named official scientific body or specific evidentiary standard, relying instead on decider judgment regarding what constitutes conclusive proof and what qualifies as a consensus of credible reporting. While the deadline is clear and the default outcome is standard, the criteria for acceptable proof remain subjective.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether conclusive proof that Earth is flat is made public within the specified timeframe.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if conclusive proof that the Earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no such conclusive proof becomes public by that deadline. The outcome is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·