Saturn FDV above $700M one day after launch
Gotcha risk
Medium1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the qualifying entity, exclusions, calculation method, and an exact timestamp for assessment (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch) alongside a final cutoff date of January 1, 2028.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the qualifying entity, exclusions, calculation method, and an exact timestamp for assessment (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch) alongside a final cutoff date of January 1, 2028. However, the resolution source is generically defined as 'the most liquid price source available' rather than a named data provider or specific exchange. This introduces some discretion in determining which venue has the highest liquidity and what exact price print or reference is taken at the snapshot time.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
3%
chance▲ +0.55 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Saturn's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Saturn will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Saturn (https://x.com/saturn_credit) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether Saturn's official token achieves a fully diluted valuation above $700M exactly one day after its launch. It requires the token to be actively and publicly tradable, excluding stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs, and synthetic tokens.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Saturn's official token is greater than $700M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. Only an official token qualifies, while stablecoins, memecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), and synthetic tokens do not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not above $700M at that time, or if Saturn does not launch a qualifying token by January 1, 2028, at 12:00 AM ET. The resolution source is the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·