Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
No Gotcha assessment was generated before this market closed.
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
No explainer was generated before this market closed.
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice. Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
About this page
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