Will Patrick Mahomes be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify an objective outcome determined by a named official source: Google's official Year in Search United States list for the 'People' category in 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify an objective outcome determined by a named official source: Google's official Year in Search United States list for the 'People' category in 2026. The resolution mechanism defines the exact URL path and category, allows resolution immediately upon publication, and includes a precise fallback deadline of March 31, 2027, resolving to 'Other' if Google fails to publish the list. There is minimal interpretive leeway or source discretion required.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Market explained
This market measures whether Patrick Mahomes will be ranked number one on Google's official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. Notably, the market specifies the 2026 annual list rather than the current year of creation.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes is ranked #1 in Google's official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. The market resolves to No if any other individual is ranked #1 on that list. The market resolves to Other if Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined by Google via its published 2026 Year in Search data, and the market may resolve as soon as the list is released.
Resolution source
Google's official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·