Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2026?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- Not captured
- 1 hour before
- Not captured
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide precise criteria for resolution, specifying the exact exchange, trading pair, timeframe, and candle metric required to trigger a positive outcome. Resolution depends strictly on the final high price of one-minute candles on Binance ETH/USDT reaching or exceeding $3,000 before 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. The market resolves immediately if the condition is met, leaving no room for decider interpretation or reliance on outside data sources.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum reaches or exceeds $3,000 against USDT on Binance by September 30, 2026. Resolution depends exclusively on Binance's 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT records a final High price equal to or greater than $3,000 between the market's creation and 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. The market resolves to No if the price threshold is not reached by that deadline. Resolution is determined solely using price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair with chart settings set to 1-minute candles. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- End date: — The final cutoff time is 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle price data
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $3,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.