Will Ethereum hit $6k by March 31, 2027?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market has very specific and objective resolution criteria.
Read the full assessment
This market has very specific and objective resolution criteria. It relies strictly on a named source, Binance, and specifies the exact trading pair (ETH/USDT) and chart timeframe (1-minute candle high) to determine the outcome. It resolves to Yes immediately upon hitting or exceeding the $6,000 threshold before the deadline of 11:59 PM ET on March 31, 2027, and to No otherwise. There is virtually no source discretion or ambiguity, though participants should be aware that price spikes on other exchanges or trading pairs will not trigger a Yes resolution if Binance ETH/USDT does not reflect the price.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
5%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $6,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches a price of at least $6,000 on Binance by March 31, 2027. Resolution depends strictly on 1-minute candle high prices on Binance, excluding other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $6,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on March 31, 2027. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches that threshold by the deadline. Only Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle High prices are considered; prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded. Binance serves as the sole resolution source.
Resolution source
Binance (ETH/USDT 1-minute candle High prices)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·