brierpoınt
PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? →

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close >99¢
Known at
$772.6K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

The resolution rules provide precise and objective criteria. Outcome determination relies strictly on the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, resolving to Yes if any candle's final low reaches $2,000 or lower before 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, and No otherwise. The data source, timeframe, metric (1-minute candle low), and trading pair are explicitly defined with no room for decider interpretation.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢15:1123:1007:0815:06
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 5Nov 7Nov 10Nov 12
0¢50¢100¢Aug 30Sep 23Oct 18Nov 12

Why it moved before close

Up 16 points · 12 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC

Coin price

The probability rose from 84% to 100% as Ethereum dropped 1.73% over the 24-hour window, moving within 1.12% of the $2,000 threshold and making a dip to that level more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 13:00 UTC, 59% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −1.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 49 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 1,750 (up), ↓ 1,500 (up), ↑ 3,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 13:35 UTC

Down 11 points · 10 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC

Coin price

The probability fell from 89% to 79% as Ethereum rose 0.77% on Binance during the hour of the move (and 2.82% over the window), making a dip to $2,000 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 18:00 UTC, 78% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): +0.8% in the move hour, +2.8% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 51 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 1,750 (up), ↓ 1,500 (up), ↑ 3,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 16:35 UTC

Up 24 points · 10 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC

Coin price

The market rose from 70% to 90%. Ethereum fell 1.58% on Binance during the hour of the move, bringing its price closer to the $2,000 threshold and making a dip to that level more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 13:00 UTC, 63% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −1.6% in the move hour, −1.2% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 51 days after the move hour.
  • 2 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 1,750 (up), ↓ 1,500 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 16:06 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Ethereum dips to $2,000 or lower on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution is determined strictly by the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, ignoring price action from any other exchange or market.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair records a final Low price of $2,000 or lower between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or drops below this price threshold during the specified timeframe. Price action occurring prior to the market's creation is disregarded. Prices from other exchanges, alternative trading pairs, or other spot markets are not considered. Resolution is decided using the 1-minute chart data for ETH/USDT on Binance.

Key dates

  • End date: — Market coverage concludes at 11:59 PM ET.

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.