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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? →

Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close >99¢
Known at
$1.5M total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

This market has clear and objective resolution criteria. It relies strictly on a single, named data source—the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart. The market resolves to Yes if any 1-minute candle's final Low price reaches or falls below $2,250 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, and resolves to No otherwise. There is no discretion left to third-party interpretation, and the price source and timeframe are explicitly bounded.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢23:0006:4014:2022:00
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢Oct 22Oct 25Oct 27Oct 29
0¢50¢100¢Aug 31Sep 19Oct 9Oct 29

Why it moved before close

Up 27 points · 29 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price rose from 73% to 100% as Ethereum fell 3.38% on Binance during the hour, making a dip to $2,250 more likely and acting as the likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 20:00 UTC, 83% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −3.4% in the move hour, −1.0% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 63 days after the move hour.
  • 4 related outcomes moved in the same window, 3 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 600 (up), ↓ 2,000 (up), ↑ 3,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 29 Oct 2026, 21:05 UTC

Up 11 points · 29 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price rose from 70% to 82%. A likely driver was Ethereum falling 1.71% on Binance during the move hour (and 2.61% over 24 hours), which increased the probability of the coin dipping to $2,250.

  • Largest hourly change: 01:00 UTC, 48% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −1.7% in the move hour, −2.6% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 63 days after the move hour.
  • 2 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 1,750 (up), ↓ 2,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 29 Oct 2026, 08:50 UTC

Down 13 points · 27 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price dropped from 84% to 71% as Ethereum rose 0.83% in the move hour and 2.05% over 24 hours on Binance, making a dip to $2,250 less likely. The coin's upward price move was the likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 12:00 UTC, 31% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): +0.8% in the move hour, +2.0% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 65 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 2,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 28 Oct 2026, 08:51 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) dips to or below $2,250 on Binance by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle data from Binance's ETH/USDT pair.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT from market creation through 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, records a final Low price equal to or below $2,250. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Price action prior to market creation is disregarded. Prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs do not count. The resolution source is the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart.

Key dates

  • End date: — Observation window ends at 11:59 PM ET.

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.