PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Solana hit in 2026? →

Will Solana dip to $90 by December 31, 2026?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close >99¢
Known at
$9.1K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

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The rules provide a precise, objective resolution mechanism tied directly to a single, named source. The market resolves affirmatively if any one-minute candle on Binance's SOL/USDT pair records a low price at or below $90 between creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The data source is unambiguous, the threshold condition is clearly defined, and there is virtually no decider discretion involved.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
80¢85¢90¢95¢100¢06:0013:4021:2005:00
40¢60¢80¢100¢Oct 28Oct 30Nov 1Nov 4
0¢50¢100¢Sep 21Oct 5Oct 20Nov 4

Why it moved before close

Up 11 points · 4 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price rose from 89% to 100% as Solana dropped 1.39% over 24 hours to sit roughly 0.96% below the $90 threshold on Binance, the likely driver of the move.

  • Largest hourly change: 03:00 UTC, 86% of the net 24-hour change.
  • SOL (Binance): −1.4% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 57 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 4 Nov 2026, 03:39 UTC

Up 10 points · 2 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC

Coin price

The market rose from 79% to 89% as Solana fell 1.31% on Binance in the move hour and nearly 4% over the window, making a dip to $90 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 17:00 UTC, 47% of the net 24-hour change.
  • SOL (Binance): −1.3% in the move hour, −4.0% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 59 days after the move hour.
  • 2 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 80 (up), ↓ 60 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 3 Nov 2026, 03:35 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL/USDT) drops to $90 or lower at any point before the end of 2026, tracked strictly on Binance 1-minute chart candles.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT has a final Low price equal to or lower than $90 at any time between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle touches or drops below $90 by that deadline. Price action occurring before the market was created does not count. Resolution is determined solely using Binance 1-minute candle data for the SOL/USDT pair; prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded.

Key dates

  • End date: — Cutoff time is 11:59 PM ET.

Resolution source

Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.