PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Solana hit in 2026? →

Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close >99¢
Known at
$17.4K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

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The market specifies exact quantitative criteria for resolution. It triggers a positive outcome if any one-minute candle on Binance for the SOL/USDT pair records a Low price of $80.00 or lower between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. A single explicit URL and chart setting determine the outcome, eliminating reliance on decider discretion or third-party aggregators. Position holders only need to track Binance SOL/USDT price data, as price action on other exchanges or different trading pairs is explicitly excluded.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
80¢85¢90¢95¢100¢04:4612:4520:4304:41
40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 6Nov 8Nov 10Nov 13
0¢50¢100¢Sep 28Oct 13Oct 28Nov 13

Why it moved before close

Up 12 points · 12 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC

Coin price

The probability rose from 78% to 90% as Solana dropped 0.94% during the hour and 3.13% over 24 hours on Binance, increasing the likelihood of reaching the $80 price level.

  • Largest hourly change: 13:00 UTC, 46% of the net 24-hour change.
  • SOL (Binance): −0.9% in the move hour, −3.1% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 49 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

Down 12 points · 10 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price dropped from 88% to 76% as Solana rose 0.43% during the move hour and 3.54% over 24 hours on Binance, making a dip to $80 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 20:00 UTC, 32% of the net 24-hour change.
  • SOL (Binance): +0.4% in the move hour, +3.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 51 days after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 160 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 16:35 UTC

Up 21 points · 10 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC

Coin price

The price of Solana fell 1.0% in the hour and 3.6% over 24 hours on Binance, making a dip to $80 more likely and serving as the likely driver for the market probability rising from 69% to 87%.

  • Largest hourly change: 13:00 UTC, 22% of the net 24-hour change.
  • SOL (Binance): −1.0% in the move hour, −3.6% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 51 days after the move hour.
  • 2 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 70 (up), ↓ 50 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 16:06 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Solana (SOL/USDT) dips to $80 or lower on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution relies strictly on Binance 1-minute candle data and excludes price action prior to market creation or from other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for SOL/USDT shows a final Low price equal to or below $80 between the market's creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches $80 or lower during this period. Price action before the creation of the market does not count. Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle chart data is the sole deciding source, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.

Key dates

  • End date: — 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Binance SOL/USDT 1-minute candle data

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Solana (SOL/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance SOL/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.