Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?
Outcome
Yes
Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.
Yes price before close
- 7 days before close
- 24 hours before close
- 1 hour before close
- Not captured
Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules clearly specify the conditions for resolution, using a single, designated data feed (Binance 1-minute candles for the XRP/USDT trading pair). The criteria depend strictly on the candle high/low metrics meeting or dipping below the $1.00 threshold prior to the specified expiration deadline (11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026). There is no subjective source discretion, and the scope explicitly excludes price data from other pairs or exchanges.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before close.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the Binance XRP/USDT price dips to $1.00 or below by December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT has a final Low price equal to or below $1.00 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Price action before market creation is disregarded. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or breaches that price threshold by the deadline. Binance 1-minute candle data for the XRP/USDT trading pair is the sole deciding source. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- End date: — Market tracking ends at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.