Will XRP dip to $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
Outcome
Yes
Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.
Yes price before close
- 7 days before close
- 24 hours before close
- 1 hour before close
Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules clearly define the condition required for a positive outcome, specifying that any final 1-minute candle on Binance for XRP/USDT must reach a low price of $1.20 or lower between market creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The data source is explicit, naming the exact Binance trading pair, URL, and chart timeframe, leaving essentially no room for resolver discretion or ambiguous interpretations.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before close.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the price of XRP drops to $1.20 or lower against USDT on Binance before the end of 2026. Resolution depends solely on Binance 1-minute candle data for the XRP/USDT pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the XRP/USDT trading pair records a final Low price equal to or below $1.20 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Price action occurring before the creation of the market is not considered. The resolution is determined solely by the Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute chart, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- End date: — 11:59 PM ET, the deadline for the price target to be met
Resolution source
Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP (XRP/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance XRP/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.