Will Raphinha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Gotcha risk
Low2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify that the outcome depends on the top goalscorer across the main tournament rounds of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League, pointing directly to UEFA's official statistics page.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify that the outcome depends on the top goalscorer across the main tournament rounds of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League, pointing directly to UEFA's official statistics page. Resolution is well-bounded by a specific deadline of June 19, 2027, resolving to 'Other' if the competition is cancelled or unfinalised by then. Participants should note the specific tie-breaker mechanics: if multiple players tie for the top spot and UEFA recognises multiple leaders rather than a single official leader, the market resolves to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. Additionally, while UEFA's official website is the primary source, the rules allow a consensus of credible reporting as a secondary fallback.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Medium
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Last captured price
17%
chance▲ +0.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA. If multiple leaders are announced, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/statistics/players/goals/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether Raphinha will be the top goalscorer across all main tournament rounds of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League. It includes a specific tiebreaker rule based on the alphabetical order of players' listed last names if UEFA announces multiple leaders.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Raphinha scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League competition, including winning via UEFA's official tiebreaker or having his last name come first alphabetically if multiple leaders are declared. The market resolves to No if another player finishes as the sole top scorer or wins the tiebreaker. The market resolves to Other if the competition is cancelled, postponed past June 19, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no official leader is declared by that time. Resolution is decided using official information from UEFA, with a consensus of credible reporting permitted as a secondary source.
Resolution source
Official information from UEFA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·