Will T1 win Worlds 2026?

Outcome

Polymarket resolved this market to No.

Final No price before close >99¢
Known at 9 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC
$1.5M total volume

No price before close

7 days before close: 78¢
24 hours before close: 84¢
1 hour before close: >99¢

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

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This market resolves based on the official winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship, with Riot Games and the official LoL Esports website designated as the primary authority. A clear backstop date of November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET is provided in case the tournament is delayed or canceled. The rules include specific fallback clauses for unexpected scenarios, such as resolving alphabetically in the unlikely event of co-champions, or resolving to an alternative outcome if no winner is declared by the deadline. Overall, resolution criteria are objective and closely tied to official tournament results.

Wording ambiguity: Low
Source discretion: Low
Timing risk: Low
Exceptional clauses: Med

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 24 Sept 2026, 02:33 UTC

Price history range

Price path to close

No price

24h7dAll

Why it moved before close

Down 14 points · 9 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC

Related outcomes

The market fell from 17% to 3% as another outcome for the event repriced, with Bilibili Gaming moving upward at the same time as a likely driver.

Largest hourly change: 00:00 UTC, 54% of the net 24-hour change.
Closes 20 days after the move hour.
1 related outcome moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: Bilibili Gaming (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for esports markets yet.

AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 01:39 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether T1 will win the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026). It includes a specific tiebreaker rule based on alphabetical order if multiple winners are declared.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if T1 is declared the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship. If multiple teams are declared winners, it resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The market resolves to No if another team wins. It resolves to Other if the tournament is canceled, postponed past November 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that deadline. Resolution is determined by official information from Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, or a consensus of credible reporting such as Liquipedia.

Key dates

Scheduled tournament start: Oct 15, 2026
Scheduled tournament end: Nov 14, 2026
Postponement and resolution deadline: Nov 28, 2026 — 11:59 PM ET deadline for declaring a winner

Resolution source

Official information from Riot Games via the LoL Esports website, or a consensus of credible reporting such as Liquipedia

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 27 Oct 2026, 13:37 UTC

Resolution rules at close

Captured Sep 9, 2026

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.