Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The resolution rules clearly define the criteria and source. Outcome determination relies strictly on the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices on Binance reaching or exceeding $100,000 between October 1 at 00:00 AM ET and October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The market triggers early resolution to Yes if the threshold is reached at any point in that timeframe, and resolves to No otherwise. Explicit exclusions note that prices on other exchanges or trading pairs do not apply.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $100,000 on Binance during October. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle data from Binance's BTC/USDT pair, ignoring all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $100,000 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $100,000 during this timeframe. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart data is the sole decider; prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Tracking period start: — 00:00 AM ET
- Tracking period end: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle price data
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.