Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear, objective criteria with very little room for interpretation. Resolution relies entirely on an explicit single source—Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the BTC/USDT pair—with specific timeframe boundaries defined down to the minute in Eastern Time. It resolves immediately if the target price is touched during October or resolves to No at the end of the month if unreached, leaving minimal room for decider discretion or timing confusion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a high price of $97,500 or higher during October, tracked strictly via Binance's BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair has a final High price equal to or greater than $97,500 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The outcome is determined solely by the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart; prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are not considered.
Key dates
- Observation period start: — 00:00 AM ET
- Observation period end: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.