Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide clear and precise resolution criteria tied to an exact data feed. The outcome relies entirely on the final High price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candles on Binance within a strictly defined Eastern Time window. If the threshold is reached on that specific pair, the market resolves to Yes immediately; otherwise, it resolves to No after the month closes. Traders only need to keep in mind that price spikes on other exchanges or different trading pairs do not count.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a high price of at least $95,000 during October. It resolves strictly using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT shows a final High price equal to or greater than $95,000 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches that price threshold during October. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets do not count. The outcome is determined solely by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data.
Key dates
- Measurement period start: — 00:00 AM ET
- Measurement period end: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.