Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution. The outcome is determined exclusively by the final High price on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart during the specified month and timezone (00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last day). The market resolves immediately to Yes if any 1-minute candle reaches or exceeds $90,000, and otherwise resolves to No. The single data source and exact trading pair are clearly defined, leaving no room for decider discretion or ambiguity.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a high price of at least $90,000 during October. Resolution relies strictly on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data rather than any other exchange or trading pair.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $90,000 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data, and prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or other spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Start of measurement period: — 00:00 AM ET on the first day of October.
- End of measurement period: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of October.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.