Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules are unambiguous and establish a clear, objective standard for resolution. The target is defined by the high price of any one-minute candle on the Binance BTC/USDT pair between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The source is a single, explicitly named trading pair URL with exact chart settings specified, leaving no room for discretion or alternative interpretation. Early resolution occurs immediately if the threshold is met, and pricing from any other exchange or market is explicitly excluded.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a price of $87,500 or higher during the month of October. It relies strictly on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $87,500 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified period. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets do not count. Resolution is determined by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart data.
Key dates
- Start of measurement period: — 00:00 AM ET
- End of measurement period: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.