Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules are straightforward and objective. Resolution relies solely on the final Low price of the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle on Binance within the specified Eastern Time window in October. The market specifies early resolution to Yes if the target threshold is hit at any point during the month, and No otherwise. No discretion is required, as the criteria reference a specific pair, chart timeframe, and single exchange source.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the Binance BTC/USDT price drops to $67,500 or lower during October. It relies strictly on Binance 1-minute candle Low prices, excluding all other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle has a final Low price equal to or lower than $67,500 between 00:00 AM ET on October 1 and 11:59 PM ET on October 31. It resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this price threshold during the specified window. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart data is the sole deciding source; other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- Measurement start: — First day of October at 00:00 AM ET
- Measurement end: — Last day of October at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.