Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules are straightforward and leave minimal room for ambiguity or dispute.
Read the full assessment
The rules are straightforward and leave minimal room for ambiguity or dispute. The market specifies a precise data feed and metric: the final high price of any one-minute candle on the Binance BTC/USDT pair. A single, direct web source is provided, and the rules explicitly state that prices from other exchanges or trading pairs will not count. The market resolves immediately if the target threshold of $150,000 is met at any point prior to the cutoff at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, and to negative otherwise.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chance▲ +0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin reaches or exceeds $150,000 by December 31, 2026. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices, disregarding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market will immediately resolve to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT trading pair records a final High price equal to or greater than $150,000 by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to No. Resolution depends exclusively on Binance BTC/USDT data; prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs do not count. Resolution is determined using Binance price charts with 1-minute candle settings.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·