Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify that the market resolves based on the official announcement of the permanent successor to the named role before December 31, 2027.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify that the market resolves based on the official announcement of the permanent successor to the named role before December 31, 2027. Explicit exclusions are provided: interim or acting roles do not qualify, and any later withdrawals after an initial announcement do not change the outcome. Resolution primarily relies on direct official announcements from the administration, with consensus reporting serving as a secondary backup.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
9%
chance▲ +1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Katie Zacharia, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether Anna Kelly is announced as the next White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if the White House announces Anna Kelly as the next White House Press Secretary replacing Katie Zacharia by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Announcements for acting or interim positions do not count. Once a qualifying announcement occurs, later withdrawals or replacement announcements do not affect the resolution. The market resolves No if another individual is announced as the replacement. The market resolves to Other if no individual is chosen to replace Katie Zacharia or if the role is abolished by the deadline. The resolution is determined using official information from the White House and Donald Trump, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Official information from the White House and Donald Trump, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·