Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide an exceptionally rigorous and objective framework for resolution.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide an exceptionally rigorous and objective framework for resolution. The primary resolution source is specifically identified as the 1-minute candlestick high/low data feed from Pyth for ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL), with precise URLs and instructions for verification. The active contract month rollover mechanics, trading session hours, and unrounded price criteria are explicitly defined alongside official ICE specifications. A clear fallback is designated in the event of an outage via ICE official daily reports. The rules leave virtually no room for decider discretion or timing confusion.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▲ +0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (denoted by Pyth as "CLL") has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered (See: "Trading Hours" at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 8:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date, except for the session dated Monday, which begins at 6:00 PM ET on the preceding Sunday, and where modified by holiday or other special hours (See: https://www.ice.com/holiday-hours). The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, except during that contract's final three trading sessions. At the open of the third-to-last trading session, the next listed contract becomes the Active Month. Each contract's last trading day will be determined by ICE Futures Europe per the WTI Crude Futures contract specification (generally the 4th US business day prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract month, or five US business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a US business day). The last trading day for each contract is posted at https://www.ice.com/products/213/WTI-Crude-Futures/expiry. For example, if the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Monday the 20th, the next listed contract would become the Active Month at the start of the trading session for Thursday the 16th (8:00 PM ET on Wednesday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected). In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at https://app.pyth.com/explore?search=CLL, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
Market explained
This market measures whether ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (Pyth ticker 'CLL') reach a price of $160 or higher during November 2026 trading sessions.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Pyth 1-minute candle for the Active Month of ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures (CLL) records a High or Low price of $160 or above at any point after creation during a November 2026 trading session. Prices are used as published by Pyth without rounding. The Active Month is the nearest listed contract, rolling to the next contract at the open of the third-to-last trading session before expiry. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches $160 or above during the period, or if the Active Month does not trade. The primary source is Pyth 1-minute candles for CLL. If Pyth data is disrupted, the official daily high/low price published by ICE Futures Europe serves as the fallback.
Resolution source
Pyth (ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures CLL feed)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·