Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 26-November 1?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules are clearly defined with an objective, single-source metric. Resolution relies strictly on Binance's 1-minute candle data for the BTC/USDT pair during the explicitly defined Eastern Time window. It specifies early resolution to 'Yes' immediately if any 1-minute candle's high reaches or exceeds $94,000, and otherwise defaults to 'No'. Prices from other exchanges or pairs are explicitly excluded, leaving no room for decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Bitcoin hits at least $94,000 between October 26 and November 1. It relies exclusively on Binance 1-minute candle high prices for the BTC/USDT pair, disregarding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT shows a final High price equal to or greater than $94,000 between October 26 at 12:00 AM ET and November 1 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches this threshold during the specified period. Resolution relies solely on the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair 1-minute chart data, and prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded.
Key dates
- Start time: — Period begins at 12:00 AM ET
- End time: — Period ends at 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle High prices
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.