Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 October 26-November 1?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- Not captured
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The rules provide clear and objective criteria for resolution. The outcome is tied directly to a single, explicit data source: the 1-minute candle Low price for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance. The timeframe is precisely defined in Eastern Time, and early resolution to Yes is explicitly outlined if the target price of $70,000 or lower is reached at any point during that window. No subjective interpretation or alternative sources are permitted.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin drops to $70,000 or lower between October 26 and November 1. It resolves strictly on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT trading pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $70,000 between October 26 at 12:00 AM ET and November 1 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or falls below this threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined solely using Binance BTC/USDT chart data set to 1m candles. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.
Key dates
- Start time: — 12:00 AM ET on the start date
- End time: — 11:59 PM ET on the end date
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle data
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.