Israeli Knesset election annulled?
Gotcha risk
Medium3 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify what constitutes an annulment and identify authoritative bodies such as the Central Elections Committee or Supreme Court.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify what constitutes an annulment and identify authoritative bodies such as the Central Elections Committee or Supreme Court. However, participants should be aware of significant timing mechanisms: if a legal challenge is formally accepted by the standard deadline of December 31, 2026, resolution can be extended up to June 30, 2027. Additionally, the market resolves immediately upon the first qualifying ruling that annuls the election, explicitly ignoring any subsequent appeals or overturned verdicts, which could produce an outcome that diverges from the ultimate legal status of the election. Sources combine official government releases with a consensus of credible reporting.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Medium
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Medium
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
1%
chance▲ +0.15 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the results of the October 27 Israeli Knesset election are annulled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The results of this election will be considered annulled if they are formally declared invalid by the Israel Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, or another official body of the government of Israel with the legal jurisdiction to do so. If an official body of the government of Israel with legal jurisdiction to rule on this matter has formally accepted a case seeking annulment of this election and no ruling has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) the public announcement of a ruling or (ii) June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the first qualifying ruling issued that annuls this election. Subsequent appeals or challenges will not be considered. The resolution sources will be official information from the government of Israel and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether the results of the October 27 Israeli Knesset election are formally annulled. The market features a conditional resolution extension if an accepted legal challenge remains pending at the standard deadline.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the election results are formally declared invalid by the Israel Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, or another official Israeli government body with legal jurisdiction by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on the first qualifying ruling, disregarding subsequent appeals or challenges. It resolves to No if no qualifying annulment occurs by the deadline. If a qualifying body formally accepts an annulment case and has not ruled by December 31, 2026, the market may stay open until a ruling is announced or June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, whichever is earlier. Resolution is decided by official Israeli government information and credible reporting.
Resolution source
Official information from the government of Israel and a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·