Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The condition for resolution is straightforward, requiring an in-person encounter where Donald Trump and Xi Jinping interact before the November 30, 2026 deadline.
Read the full assessment
The condition for resolution is straightforward, requiring an in-person encounter where Donald Trump and Xi Jinping interact before the November 30, 2026 deadline. Because no single official agency or registry is designated to certify the event, resolution relies on an adjudicator evaluating a consensus of credible media reporting. However, high-profile meetings between world leaders are widely documented, making surprise outcomes unlikely.
- Resolver
- High
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
99%
chance▲ +0.15 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market explained
This market measures whether Donald Trump meets in person with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Xi Jinping meets with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying meeting is defined as any encounter where both individuals are present and interact with each other in person. The market resolves to No if no such meeting occurs within the specified timeframe. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·