Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 7?
Outcome
Yes
Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.
Yes price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules provide highly specific, objective criteria. The outcome depends entirely on a single, clearly defined metric: the closing price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle on Binance at precisely 12:00 PM ET on November 7. A direct URL to the exact source and specific chart configuration is provided, leaving no room for decider discretion or ambiguous timing.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $70,000 on November 7. Resolution depends strictly on a single 1-minute candle close price for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance rather than other exchanges or trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 7, 2026, has a final Close price strictly greater than $70,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or below $70,000. Resolution relies solely on the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data from Binance, ignoring all other exchanges, pairs, and broader market prices. Price precision follows the decimal places reported by the source.
Key dates
- Target evaluation time: — The 1-minute BTC/USDT candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 7 determines the resolution.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close prices
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.