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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: NoClosed Part of Bitcoin above ___ on November 7? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 7?

Outcome

No

Polymarket resolved this market to No.

Final No price before close 51¢
Known at
$49.1K total volume

No price before the listed close date

7 days before
Not captured
24 hours before
1 hour before

Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

This market has very specific and objective resolution rules. It identifies the exact resolution source (Binance BTC/USDT), the exact metric (the 1-minute candle 'Close' price), and the precise timestamp (12:00 PM ET on November 7). The threshold of strictly higher than $76,000 is clearly defined, and there is no subjective judgment or discretion required to determine the outcome.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

No price
20¢40¢60¢80¢03:0110:0016:5823:56
0¢20¢40¢60¢80¢Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 7
0¢20¢40¢60¢Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7

Why it moved before close

Down 53 points · 5 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC

Coin price

The market fell from 94% to 42% as Bitcoin dropped 1.72% on Binance during the move hour, moving 2.92% below the $76,000 threshold and making closing above that level less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 14:00 UTC, 54% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.7% in the move hour, −2.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 34 hours after the move hour.
  • 2 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: 78,000 (down), 82,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 5 Nov 2026, 23:20 UTC

Up 45 points · 4 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC

Coin price

The contract price rose from 60% to 96% as Bitcoin gained 1.17% on Binance during the move hour, moving within 1.8% of the $76,000 threshold and making the target level more likely to be reached.

  • Largest hourly change: 04:00 UTC, 85% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): +1.2% in the move hour, +1.0% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 2 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 3 in the same direction. Largest: 78,000 (up), 82,000 (up), 70,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 5 Nov 2026, 03:20 UTC

Down 10 points · 4 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price fell from 61% to 51% as Bitcoin dropped 1.12% on Binance during the hour, making it less likely to finish above $76,000 by November 7.

  • Largest hourly change: 02:00 UTC, 82% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.1% in the move hour, −1.0% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 2 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: 78,000 (down), 82,000 (down), 70,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 4 Nov 2026, 03:39 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $76,000 on November 7. Resolution depends strictly on Binance's BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at a specific time rather than prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 7 has a final Close price strictly higher than $76,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $76,000. Resolution is determined solely using the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close prices from Binance, with price precision determined by the source's decimal places.

Key dates

  • Target evaluation time: — Evaluated at the 12:00 PM ET (noon) 1-minute candle close.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.