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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: NoClosed Part of Bitcoin above ___ on November 7? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 7?

Outcome

No

Polymarket resolved this market to No.

Final No price before close >99¢
Known at
$40.4K total volume

No price before the listed close date

7 days before
Not captured
24 hours before
1 hour before

Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

The rules provide precise, objective resolution criteria. Outcome determination depends strictly on a single, specific 1-minute candle (closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 7) for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance, leaving virtually no room for discretion or interpretive dispute. Traders need only note that the benchmark is restricted to Binance's BTC/USDT market specifically, rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

No price
98¢98.5¢99¢99.5¢100¢03:0110:0016:5823:56
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢Nov 3Nov 4Nov 5Nov 7
70¢80¢90¢100¢Nov 4Nov 5Nov 6Nov 7

Why it moved before close

Down 26 points · 5 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price dropped from 29% to 3% as Bitcoin fell 1.72% on Binance during the move hour (and 2.5% over 24 hours), making staying above $82,000 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 14:00 UTC, 39% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.7% in the move hour, −2.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 34 hours after the move hour.
  • 2 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: 78,000 (down), 76,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 5 Nov 2026, 15:20 UTC

Up 25 points · 4 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC

Coin price

The market rose from 8% to 33% as Bitcoin gained 2.1% over the 24-hour window on Binance, moving within 3.3% of the $82,000 threshold and increasing the likelihood of closing above that level.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 72% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): +2.1% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 2 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 4 Nov 2026, 15:36 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $82,000 at a specific minute on November 7, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on the BTC/USDT pair on Binance rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 7, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $82,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $82,000. Resolution relies exclusively on the BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data from Binance, with price precision determined by the number of decimal places provided by the source.

Key dates

  • Price evaluation time: — Candle closing at 12:00 PM ET

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.