Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 7?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- Not captured
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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This market features clear, objective criteria. Resolution depends strictly on a single, precisely defined data point: the close price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle at 12:00 PM ET on November 7 on Binance. The specific exchange pair, candle duration, timezone, and URL are all explicitly provided, eliminating source discretion and ambiguity regarding which price is used.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin is above $84,000 at a specific minute on November 7, 2026. Resolution is tied strictly to the BTC/USDT pair on Binance at noon ET rather than an index or other exchanges.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 7, 2026, shows a final Close price strictly greater than $84,000. It resolves to No if the Close price at that exact time is equal to or less than $84,000. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data decides the outcome, with price precision determined by the number of decimal places provided by the source.
Key dates
- Measurement time: — Evaluated at the 12:00 PM ET 1-minute candle close
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.