Will the fight end before Round 3?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market features clear, objective criteria that align directly with the question.
Read the full assessment
This market features clear, objective criteria that align directly with the question. It explicitly resolves to Yes if the bout concludes before the start of Round 3, including corner or doctor stoppages occurring during the rest period between Rounds 2 and 3. The official results published by the UFC serve as the direct resolution authority, leaving minimal room for subjective interpretation. Standard contingencies for no contests, cancellations, or significant postponements are defined to resolve evenly at 50-50.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
43%
chance▼ −0.5 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Josh Hokit and Ciryl Gane at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed, so a fight stopped between Round 2 and Round 3 will resolve "Yes." If the fight goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed, it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Market explained
This market measures whether the UFC 334 bout between Josh Hokit and Ciryl Gane ends before Round 3 begins. Notably, a stoppage occurring between Round 2 and Round 3 counts toward an early finish, and the market resolves 50-50 under specific voiding circumstances.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the fight officially ends before Round 3 begins. A stoppage occurring between rounds, such as a doctor or corner stoppage between Round 2 and Round 3, counts as ending in the completed round and resolves to Yes. The market resolves to No if the bout does not end before Round 3 begins, including if it goes to the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed. The market resolves to 50-50 if the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026. The resolution source is official information from the UFC.
Resolution source
official information from the UFC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·