Will Ciryl Gane win in Round 2?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules are clearly defined with minimal ambiguity.
Read the full assessment
The rules are clearly defined with minimal ambiguity. Resolution relies on official results from the UFC and explicitly details what constitutes a round-two stoppage, including how between-round stoppages are attributed. Other victory types, disqualifications, decisions, draws, or finishes in different rounds resolve to No, while cancellations, no-contests, or delays past a specific two-week grace period resolve evenly at 50-50.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
12%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ciryl Gane defeats Josh Hokit at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 2, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, counts as ending in the round that has just been completed. If the fight is won in a different round, is won by decision, ends in a draw, or is won by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
Market explained
This market measures whether Ciryl Gane will defeat Josh Hokit in Round 2 via KO, TKO, or submission at UFC 334. An unusual condition is that the market resolves 50-50 if the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed past a specific date.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Ciryl Gane defeats Josh Hokit at UFC 334 on November 14, 2026, by KO, TKO, or submission that ends the fight in Round 2, including referee, doctor, or corner stoppages. A stoppage occurring between rounds counts toward the round that just ended. The market resolves to No if the fight is won in any other round, is decided by decision, ends in a draw, or ends via disqualification for either fighter. The market resolves to 50-50 if the bout is ruled a No Contest, is not scored, is canceled, or is postponed beyond November 28, 2026. Official information from the UFC decides the outcome.
Resolution source
Official information from the UFC
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·