Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in November?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market features clear, unambiguous resolution criteria tied to a specific metric and authoritative source.
Read the full assessment
This market features clear, unambiguous resolution criteria tied to a specific metric and authoritative source. Resolution depends entirely on whether any 1-minute candle's High price for the Binance BTC/USDT pair reaches or exceeds $97,500 between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. The source is explicitly identified with exact chart settings and a direct URL, leaving no room for decider discretion. Early resolution occurs immediately if the threshold is met, which matches the natural expectation of the question. Traders should only note that prices on other exchanges or different trading pairs do not count if Binance data does not hit the target.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▼ −0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Bitcoin reaches a high price of at least $97,500 on Binance during November. It resolves solely on 1-minute candle high prices for the BTC/USDT pair, ignoring all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT shows a final High price equal to or greater than $97,500 between 00:00 AM ET on the first day of November and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds this price threshold during that period. Prices from other exchanges, alternative trading pairs, or spot markets are excluded and will not be considered. Resolution is determined solely using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart data.
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·