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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in November? →

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close >99¢
Known at
$426.9K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

This market resolves using a specific, objective price threshold tied directly to a single named exchange feed. It specifies the exact trading pair (BTC/USDT on Binance), chart timeframe (1-minute candles), and metric (final Low price). The time window is clearly defined from 00:00 AM ET on the first day of November to 11:59 PM ET on the last day, with early resolution to Yes if the price touches or breaches $70,000 at any point during that period. No discretionary reporting or secondary sources are used.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
40¢60¢80¢100¢03:0611:0519:0303:02
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 6Nov 8Nov 10Nov 13
0¢50¢100¢Nov 4Nov 7Nov 10Nov 13

Why it moved before close

Up 33 points · 12 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price rose from 52% to 78% as Bitcoin dropped 0.69% on Binance during the hour of the move, bringing the spot price closer to the $70,000 threshold and making a dip to that level more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 11:00 UTC, 80% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.7% in the move hour, −1.3% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 18 days after the move hour.
  • 9 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 75,000 (down), ↑ 77,500 (down), ↓ 67,500 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 21:05 UTC

Down 11 points · 10 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC

Coin price

The market fell from 63% to 52% as Bitcoin rose 0.55% on Binance during the move hour, making a dip to $70,000 less likely as the price moved further above the threshold.

  • Largest hourly change: 17:00 UTC, 36% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): +0.6% in the move hour, +0.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 20 days after the move hour.
  • 9 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 72,500 (up), ↑ 77,500 (down), ↑ 80,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 16:05 UTC

Up 19 points · 10 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC

Coin price

The price rose from 44% to 63% as Bitcoin fell 1.59% on Binance during the hour, making a dip to $70,000 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 58% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.6% in the move hour, −1.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 20 days after the move hour.
  • 8 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 72,500 (up), ↑ 77,500 (down), ↑ 80,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 16:07 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether Bitcoin's price on Binance reaches $70,000 or lower during November. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle Low prices for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance, disregarding other trading pairs and exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT on Binance shows a final Low price equal to or lower than $70,000 between 00:00 AM ET on the first day of November and 11:59 PM ET on the last day. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches that threshold during the specified period. Resolution is determined solely using price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair with chart settings set to one-minute (1m) candles. Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are excluded.

Key dates

No key dates are identified in this explainer.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.