Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules provide precise, objective criteria for resolution.
Read the full assessment
The rules provide precise, objective criteria for resolution. The outcome is tied strictly to Binance's ETH/USDT 1-minute candle high prices within a clearly defined time window in Eastern Time. The market resolves immediately to Yes if the threshold is met at any point, or to No after the month concludes. A specific URL and chart setting are provided, leaving no room for discretionary interpretation, though participants should be aware that price spikes on other exchanges or trading pairs will not count.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▼ −0.2 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $3,500 during November. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance, excluding all other exchanges and trading pairs.
How it resolves
The market will immediately resolve to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT has a final High price equal to or greater than $3,500 between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. Otherwise, the market will resolve to No. The deciding source is Binance price data for the ETH/USDT pair using 1-minute chart intervals. Prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs do not count.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·