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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Ethereum hit in November? →

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in November?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close 91¢
Known at
$12.6K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
Not captured
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

The rules provide clear and objective criteria for resolution. The outcome relies strictly on the 1-minute candle high prices for the ETH/USDT pair on Binance within the exact specified time window in Eastern Time. There is no decider discretion, and the single data source and candle metric are unambiguously defined. The market resolves immediately upon hitting the target or defaults to 'No' at the end of the month.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
40¢60¢80¢100¢16:0023:4007:2015:00
40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 3Nov 3Nov 4Nov 4
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢Nov 4Nov 4Nov 4Nov 4

Why it moved before close

Up 12 points · 4 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC

Coin price

The probability of Ethereum reaching $2,400 rose from 61% to 72% as Ethereum gained 0.58% in the hour on Binance (and 1.39% over the window), moving closer to the $2,400 threshold as the likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 05:00 UTC, 56% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): +0.6% in the move hour, +1.4% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 26 days after the move hour.
  • 11 related outcomes moved in the same window, 5 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 2,200 (down), ↓ 2,100 (down), ↑ 2,500 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 4 Nov 2026, 06:05 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether Ethereum reaches a price of $2,400 or higher during November. Resolution relies strictly on one-minute candle data from Binance's ETH/USDT trading pair.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair between 00:00 AM ET on November 1 and 11:59 PM ET on November 30 has a final High price equal to or greater than $2,400. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined solely using the 1m candle High prices on Binance's ETH/USDT chart. Prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs are disregarded.

Key dates

  • Start of November period: 00:00 AM ET on the first day of November
  • End of November period: 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.