brierpoınt
PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Ethereum hit in November? →

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close 91¢
Known at
$141.9K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

This market features clear, objective criteria. Resolution is strictly tied to a specific exchange (Binance) and a single trading pair (ETH/USDT) viewed on a one-minute candle timeframe. The evaluation window is explicitly defined in Eastern Time, and the threshold requires the one-minute candle's final Low price to hit or dip below the exact dollar level. Early resolution to Yes occurs as soon as a qualifying candle prints, while a No resolution occurs if the target is not reached by the end of November.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
60¢70¢80¢90¢100¢13:2121:2005:1813:16
0¢50¢100¢Nov 5Nov 7Nov 10Nov 12
0¢50¢100¢Nov 4Nov 6Nov 9Nov 12

Why it moved before close

Up 11 points · 12 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Coin price

Ethereum fell 1.1% on Binance during the hour of the move, making a dip to $2,000 more likely as the contract's price rose from 80% to 91%.

  • Largest hourly change: 11:00 UTC, 77% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −1.1% in the move hour, −0.6% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 18 days after the move hour.
  • 4 related outcomes moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 1,900 (up), ↑ 2,700 (down), ↓ 1,800 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 12:05 UTC

Down 22 points · 11 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC

Coin price

The market fell from 91% to 69% as Ethereum gained 1.0% on Binance during the move hour, making a dip to $2,000 less likely as the price moved further away from the threshold.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 41% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): +1.0% in the move hour, +1.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 19 days after the move hour.
  • 8 related outcomes moved in the same window, 7 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 1,900 (down), ↓ 1,800 (down), ↑ 2,300 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 17:50 UTC

Up 33 points · 10 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price rose from 64% to 92%. A 1.58% drop in Ethereum's price on Binance during the move hour brought it closer to the $2,000 threshold, making a dip to that level more likely and serving as the likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 13:00 UTC, 44% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −1.6% in the move hour, −1.2% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 20 days after the move hour.
  • 8 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 2,300 (down), ↓ 1,900 (up), ↑ 2,400 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 16:06 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether Ethereum's price reaches $2,000 or lower during November. Resolution relies solely on the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, excluding all other exchanges or trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $2,000 between November 1 at 00:00 AM ET and November 30 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The outcome is determined exclusively using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart data. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets do not count.

Key dates

  • Start of measurement period: — 00:00 AM ET
  • End of measurement period: — 11:59 PM ET

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle Low prices

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.